Ed Sunarpo
Publications
Equity Research2026

Talen Energy: Where Power Meets Compute

An Outperform initiation on Talen Energy, with 28.4% upside to a $478 price target as AI-driven power demand strengthens its data centre power business.

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Findings

  1. 01AI-driven data centre demand is creating power supply gaps, strengthening the case for on-site generation.
  2. 02Talen's $18B, 17-year AWS PPA provides long-term contracted cash flows from its nuclear capacity.
  3. 03Normalising a $501M non-cash charge produces $6.17 adjusted EPS for FY2025.
  4. 04Blended valuation supports a $478 price target, implying 28.4% upside.